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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Jan 9, 2021 at 5pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
VD

Moreirense
2 - 2
Guimaraes

Pires (15'), Soares (70')
Pacheco (87'), D'Alberto (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Edwards (20'), Andre (68')
Quaresma (65'), Fernandes (86'), Mumin (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 24.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
MoreirenseDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
24.96%27.34%47.7%
Both teams to score 45.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.6%59.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.22%79.77%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.19%39.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.53%76.47%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01%24.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35%59.64%
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 24.96%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 47.69%
    Draw 27.33%
MoreirenseDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 9.16%
2-1 @ 5.85%
2-0 @ 4.22%
3-1 @ 1.8%
3-0 @ 1.3%
3-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 24.96%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 9.95%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.33%
0-1 @ 13.79%
0-2 @ 9.56%
1-2 @ 8.81%
0-3 @ 4.42%
1-3 @ 4.07%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-4 @ 1.53%
1-4 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 47.69%

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