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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Jan 17, 2021 at 3pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
M

Nacional
0 - 1
Moreirense


Riascos (42'), Azouni (53'), Micael (76'), Pedrao (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vitoria (78')
Conte (19'), Pacheco (30'), Vitoria (63'), Ferraresi (90+2'), Soares (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawMoreirense
40.24%27.99%31.76%
Both teams to score 47.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.28%58.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74%79.25%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44%28.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.65%64.35%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.04%33.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.37%70.63%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 40.24%
    Moreirense 31.76%
    Draw 27.99%
NacionalDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 12.15%
2-1 @ 8.23%
2-0 @ 7.61%
3-1 @ 3.44%
3-0 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 1.86%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 40.24%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.7%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.99%
0-1 @ 10.47%
1-2 @ 7.09%
0-2 @ 5.66%
1-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 31.76%

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