Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.93%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 6.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.19%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
