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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estádio Nacional
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Belenenses
1 - 1
Moreirense

Akas (29')
Ribeiro (38'), Sousa (56'), Felipe da Silva Nunes (78'), Lukovic (78'), Phete (90+5')
Boni (67'), Petit (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Luis (86')
Vitoria (45+2'), Yan (53'), Camara (78'), Rosic (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 34.8%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.85%) and 1-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 1-0 (13.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
BelenensesDrawMoreirense
34.14%31.06%34.8%
Both teams to score 39.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.73%68.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.89%86.11%
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.56%37.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78%74.22%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.03%36.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.24%73.75%
Score Analysis
    Belenenses 34.13%
    Moreirense 34.8%
    Draw 31.05%
BelenensesDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 13.59%
2-0 @ 6.68%
2-1 @ 6.65%
3-0 @ 2.19%
3-1 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 34.13%
0-0 @ 13.83%
1-1 @ 13.53%
2-2 @ 3.31%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 31.05%
0-1 @ 13.77%
0-2 @ 6.85%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-3 @ 2.27%
1-3 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 34.8%

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