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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio D Afonso Henriques
M

Guimaraes
2 - 1
Moreirense

Edwards (19'), Duarte (85')
Rochinha (29'), Estupinan (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pires (88')
Camara (42')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 24.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMoreirense
49.69%26.17%24.14%
Both teams to score 47.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.12%55.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.01%77%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46%22.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.87%56.13%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.41%38.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.67%75.33%
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 49.69%
    Moreirense 24.14%
    Draw 26.17%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 12.96%
2-0 @ 9.65%
2-1 @ 9.19%
3-0 @ 4.79%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-0 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 49.69%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 8.7%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.17%
0-1 @ 8.29%
1-2 @ 5.88%
0-2 @ 3.95%
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 24.14%

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