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SL
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 23, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
 
M

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 0
Moreirense

Coates (16')
Palhinha (33'), Amorim (34'), Paulinho (66'), Braganca (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vitoria (89'), Rosic (90'), Henriques (90+1'), Conceicao (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawMoreirense
60.39%23.59%16.02%
Both teams to score 43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.37%55.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.21%76.79%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84%18.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.87%49.13%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.54%47.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.17%82.83%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 60.38%
    Moreirense 16.02%
    Draw 23.58%
Sporting LisbonDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 14.7%
2-0 @ 12.54%
2-1 @ 9.35%
3-0 @ 7.13%
3-1 @ 5.32%
4-0 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 1.98%
5-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 60.38%
1-1 @ 10.95%
0-0 @ 8.62%
2-2 @ 3.48%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 23.58%
0-1 @ 6.42%
1-2 @ 4.08%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 16.02%

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