Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 35.64%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.03%) and 1-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (13.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.