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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 11, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Miguel
N

Santa Clara
5 - 1
Nacional

Villanueva (4'), Costa (35', 47'), Carlos (79'), Ukra (90+6' pen.)
Lincoln (14'), Ramos (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Correia (66')
Thill (8'), Kalindi (77'), Correia (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 25.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.

Result
Santa ClaraDrawNacional
45.45%29.5%25.06%
Both teams to score 39.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.94%66.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.37%84.63%
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72%29.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75%65.25%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.44%43.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.24%79.76%
Score Analysis
    Santa Clara 45.44%
    Nacional 25.05%
    Draw 29.48%
Santa ClaraDrawNacional
1-0 @ 15.66%
2-0 @ 9.62%
2-1 @ 7.99%
3-0 @ 3.94%
3-1 @ 3.27%
3-2 @ 1.36%
4-0 @ 1.21%
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 45.44%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 12.75%
2-2 @ 3.32%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 29.48%
0-1 @ 10.6%
1-2 @ 5.41%
0-2 @ 4.41%
1-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.05%

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