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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 13, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
FL

Nacional
2 - 3
Farense

Vigario (68'), Mendes (83')
Azouni (40'), Ramos (45'), Borges (84'), Correia (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pinto (51'), Gauld (62'), Mendes (86' og.)
Nunes (66'), Stojiljkovic (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawSC Farense
40.73%27.8%31.47%
Both teams to score 47.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.91%58.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24%78.76%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01%27.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37%63.62%
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17%33.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.5%70.49%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 40.72%
    SC Farense 31.47%
    Draw 27.79%
NacionalDrawSC Farense
1-0 @ 12.05%
2-1 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 3.53%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.13%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 40.72%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.47%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.79%
0-1 @ 10.26%
1-2 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 5.56%
1-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 31.47%

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