Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.61%) and 1-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (12.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.
