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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 21, 2021 at 3pm UK
Mata Real
VD

Pacos de Ferreira
2 - 1
Guimaraes

Pedro (33'), Ferreira (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Estupinan (23')
Sacko (70'), Pepelu (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.54%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 28.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
28.11%29.35%42.54%
Both teams to score 42.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.69%64.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.6%83.4%
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.16%39.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.5%76.5%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70%30%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.88%66.12%
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 28.11%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 42.53%
    Draw 29.34%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 11%
2-1 @ 6.09%
2-0 @ 5.06%
3-1 @ 1.87%
3-0 @ 1.55%
3-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 28.11%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 11.95%
2-2 @ 3.67%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.34%
0-1 @ 14.38%
0-2 @ 8.66%
1-2 @ 7.97%
0-3 @ 3.48%
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 1.47%
0-4 @ 1.05%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 42.53%

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