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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
 
VD

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 0
Guimaraes

Coates (31')
Feddal (88'), Ugarte (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Silva (23'), Borevkovic (25')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 17.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
56.96%25.66%17.38%
Both teams to score 40.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.25%60.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.19%80.8%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52%21.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.49%54.51%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.26%48.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.23%83.76%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 56.95%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 17.38%
    Draw 25.65%
Sporting LisbonDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 16.1%
2-0 @ 12.38%
2-1 @ 8.9%
3-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 4.56%
4-0 @ 2.44%
4-1 @ 1.76%
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 56.95%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 10.46%
2-2 @ 3.2%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 7.52%
1-2 @ 4.16%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 2%
Total : 17.38%

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