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FL
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
VD

Famalicao
1 - 2
Guimaraes

Banza (5')
Pickel (63'), Figueiras (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Estupinan (34'), Edwards (59')
Sacko (26'), Borevkovic (38'), Rochinha (42'), Andre (62'), Varela (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 1-0 (11.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
FamalicaoDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
33.88%29.07%37.05%
Both teams to score 44.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.86%62.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.16%81.84%
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.73%34.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03%70.97%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83%32.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.34%68.66%
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 33.87%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 37.05%
    Draw 29.07%
FamalicaoDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 11.8%
2-1 @ 7.17%
2-0 @ 6.32%
3-1 @ 2.56%
3-0 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 33.87%
1-1 @ 13.39%
0-0 @ 11.02%
2-2 @ 4.07%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.07%
0-1 @ 12.5%
1-2 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 7.09%
1-3 @ 2.87%
0-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 37.05%

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