SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
33.92% ( 0.23) | 26.88% ( -0.05) | 39.2% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 51.04% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.9% ( 0.25) | 54.1% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.48% ( 0.21) | 75.52% ( -0.21) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.88% ( 0.27) | 30.12% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.73% ( 0.33) | 66.26% ( -0.33) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% ( 0.02) | 26.95% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.7% ( 0.03) | 62.29% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.92% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.19% |
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