SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
17.91% ( 1.34) | 22.19% ( 0.57) | 59.91% ( -1.9) |
| Both teams to score 50.63% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.67% ( -0.17) | 47.34% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.45% ( -0.16) | 69.56% ( 0.17) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.85% ( 1.53) | 40.16% ( -1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.21% ( 1.37) | 76.79% ( -1.36) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.61% ( -0.67) | 15.4% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.81% ( -1.27) | 44.2% ( 1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.31)2-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.04% Total : 17.91% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.19% | 0-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 10.82% ( -0.44)1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 6.75% ( -0.44)1-3 @ 6.16% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.29)1-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.14)1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.31% Total : 59.9% |
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