Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
17.91% (![]() | 22.19% (![]() | 59.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.63% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.67% (![]() | 47.34% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.45% (![]() | 69.56% (![]() |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.85% (![]() | 40.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.21% (![]() | 76.79% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.61% (![]() | 15.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.81% (![]() | 44.2% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 5.64% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.82% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 2.04% Total : 17.91% | 1-1 @ 10.55% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.51% ( ![]() Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.19% | 0-1 @ 11.56% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.82% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.87% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.16% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.31% Total : 59.9% |
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