Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 10, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
4 - 0
Portimonense

Trincao (7', 41'), Goncalves (72'), Santos (76')
Santos (44'), Rochinha (45+1'), Esgaio (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pedrao (45+1'), Seck (48'), Diaby-Fadiga (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

Last Six:

Last Game: Frankfurt 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, September 7 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Estoril Praia	5	2	7
10	Sporting Lisbon	5	0	7
11	Arouca	5	-8	7

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Portimonense

While Portimonense set out to pick up a fifth win on the bounce, standing in their way is a bogey Sporting Lisbon side who have won their last seven meetings in the league. While the hosts have struggled for results in the early stages of the season, we are backing them to carry on the momentum for the Champions League victory and come away with all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 71.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Portimonense
71.38% ( -0.01)	17.36% ( -0.03)	11.25% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 49.5% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.06% (

0.27)

39.93% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.7% (

0.28)

62.29% (

-0.28)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.08% (

0.07)

9.91% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.17% (

0.16)

32.83% (

-0.15)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.94% (

0.26)

45.06% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.02% (

0.2)

80.98% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 71.38%

Portimonense 11.25%

Draw 17.36%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Portimonense
2-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 5.31% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.59% Total : 71.38%	1-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 17.36%	0-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.42% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 11.25%