On an 11-match winless run, Portimonense will come into this one desperate for a much-needed victory as they look to get their season back on track. While previous results show Estoril Praia are favourites heading into the game, we predict the Canarinhos will hold out for a share of the spoils against an opposing side who have struggled for form in home turf this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
