SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Famalicao | 33 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
| 11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Portimonense |
| 37.58% | 27.78% | 34.64% |
| Both teams to score 48.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.54% | 57.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.73% | 78.27% |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% | 29.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.48% | 65.52% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% | 31.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.3% | 67.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 7.99% 2-0 @ 6.89% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.57% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.25% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.77% | 0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 7.6% 0-2 @ 6.22% 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.64% |
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