SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 45.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Portimonense |
45.08% ( 1.11) | 27.9% ( 0.15) | 27.02% ( -1.26) |
| Both teams to score 45.19% ( -1.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.86% ( -1.1) | 60.13% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.66% ( -0.84) | 80.34% ( 0.84) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( 0.06) | 26.62% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.14% ( 0.08) | 61.86% ( -0.08) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.58% ( -1.64) | 38.41% ( 1.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.83% ( -1.61) | 75.16% ( 1.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.39)2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 45.08% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.58% Total : 27.02% |
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