While Sporting Lisbon have stumbled into the new season, they possess the firepower needed to turn things around. Amorim's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and while Estoril Praia have proven to be a tough nut to crack this season, we are backing them to grind out a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
16.21% ( -0.36)	20.92% ( -0)	62.87% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 51.23% (

-0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.24% (

-0.63)

44.76% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.88% (

-0.61)

67.12% (

0.61)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.31% (

-0.83)

40.69% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.72% (

-0.76)

77.28% (

0.76)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.38% (

-0.09)

13.62% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.23% (

-0.18)

40.77% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 16.21%

Sporting Lisbon 62.86%

Draw 20.92%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.21%	1-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.99% Total : 20.92%	0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 11.01% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 7.32% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 6.58% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.65% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.28% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 62.86%