Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
