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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Mar 6, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal
T

Portimonense
3 - 0
Tondela

Beto (14', 54'), Boa Morte (35')
Anzai (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Olabe (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 19.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawTondela
54.78%25.43%19.78%
Both teams to score 44.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.72%57.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.88%78.12%
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04%20.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.3%53.7%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.19%43.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.03%79.97%
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 54.77%
    Tondela 19.78%
    Draw 25.43%
PortimonenseDrawTondela
1-0 @ 14.34%
2-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 9.25%
3-0 @ 5.84%
3-1 @ 4.82%
4-0 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 54.77%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 9.18%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 7.58%
1-2 @ 4.89%
0-2 @ 3.13%
1-3 @ 1.34%
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 19.78%

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