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FL
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 25, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio de São Luís
P

Farense
0 - 1
Porto


Nunes (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Taremi (15')
Otavio (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawPorto
15.07%20.54%64.39%
Both teams to score 49.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75%45.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.41%67.59%
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.51%42.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.14%78.86%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.68%13.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.83%40.17%
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 15.07%
    Porto 64.38%
    Draw 20.54%
SC FarenseDrawPorto
1-0 @ 4.84%
2-1 @ 4.18%
2-0 @ 2.07%
3-2 @ 1.2%
3-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 15.07%
1-1 @ 9.77%
0-0 @ 5.66%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 20.54%
0-2 @ 11.5%
0-1 @ 11.4%
1-2 @ 9.84%
0-3 @ 7.73%
1-3 @ 6.62%
0-4 @ 3.9%
1-4 @ 3.33%
2-3 @ 2.83%
0-5 @ 1.57%
2-4 @ 1.43%
1-5 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 64.38%

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