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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 22, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
VD

Porto
1 - 0
Guimaraes

Marega (49')
Mensah (55'), Marega (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 14.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Porto in this match.

Result
PortoDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
64.53%21.05%14.42%
Both teams to score 46.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.33%48.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22%70.78%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64%14.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.78%42.22%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.5%45.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.67%81.33%
Score Analysis
    Porto 64.52%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 14.42%
    Draw 21.05%
PortoDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 12.67%
2-0 @ 12.3%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 7.96%
3-1 @ 6.27%
4-0 @ 3.86%
4-1 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.47%
5-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.2%
5-1 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 64.52%
1-1 @ 9.99%
0-0 @ 6.53%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 21.05%
0-1 @ 5.14%
1-2 @ 3.93%
0-2 @ 2.03%
1-3 @ 1.03%
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 14.42%

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