SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Chaves |
35.56% ( -0.79) | 27.39% ( -0.19) | 37.05% ( 0.98) |
| Both teams to score 49.65% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.05% ( 0.73) | 55.95% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.96% ( 0.59) | 77.05% ( -0.59) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.01% ( -0.13) | 30% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.89% ( -0.16) | 66.12% ( 0.16) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% ( 0.96) | 29.08% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.01% ( 1.17) | 64.99% ( -1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Chaves |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.55% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.05% |
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