While Rio Ave have been solid at home in recent weeks, they must improve their form on the road if they are to make a late push for a spot in Europe. Buoyed by their win over the Gilistas, we are backing Freire's side to see off the floundering hosts, who have struggled for goals this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Rio Ave
35.52% ( -0.05)	28.02% ( -0.22)	36.47% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 47.75% (

0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.69% (

0.83)

58.32% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.07% (

0.65)

78.94% (

-0.64)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.8% (

0.39)

31.2% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.46% (

0.45)

67.55% (

-0.44)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.4% (

0.59)

30.61% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.16% (

0.69)

66.84% (

-0.69)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 35.52%

Rio Ave 36.46%

Draw 28.01%

Santa Clara	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.06) Other @ 3% Total : 35.52%	1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.01%	0-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.46%