Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Chaves win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Braga |
26.91% (![]() | 23.99% (![]() | 49.1% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.84% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.07% (![]() | 44.92% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.72% (![]() | 67.28% (![]() |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.65% (![]() | 30.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.47% (![]() | 66.53% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.61% (![]() | 18.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.47% (![]() | 49.53% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Braga |
2-1 @ 6.72% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.66% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.97% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.58% ( ![]() Other @ 3.06% Total : 26.91% | 1-1 @ 11.26% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 9.54% (![]() 0-1 @ 9.45% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 3.44% Total : 49.1% |
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