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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
VD

Estrela Amadora
2 - 2
Guimaraes

Bucca (45+1'), Pinho (84' pen.)
Ferro (50'), Nani (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Santos (43'), Silva (69' pen.)
Handel (32'), Mendes (75'), Silva (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Anadia 1-3 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, October 19 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Djurgarden 1-2 Guimaraes
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Conference League

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-3 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Off the back of two consecutive cup victories, Vitoria de Guimaraes will return to league action with renewed confidence as they look to end their three-game winless run. While Estrela appear to have hit their stride of late, they have struggled to impose themselves on home turf this season and we see them struggling this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 20.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.51%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
20.38% (0.509 0.51) 24.11% (0.359 0.36) 55.51% (-0.872 -0.87)
Both teams to score 48.94% (-0.298 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.28% (-0.796 -0.8)51.72% (0.794 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.5% (-0.695 -0.7)73.49% (0.69200000000001 0.69)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06% (0.088999999999999 0.09)39.94% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.4% (0.081 0.08)76.6% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49% (-0.61999999999999 -0.62)18.5% (0.617 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.27% (-1.055 -1.06)49.72% (1.052 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 20.38%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 55.49%
    Draw 24.1%
Estrela AmadoraDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 6.78% (0.228 0.23)
2-1 @ 5.25% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 3.11% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 1.61% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 0.95% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 20.38%
1-1 @ 11.44% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.39% (0.231 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 12.46% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 10.51% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-3 @ 5.92% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-3 @ 5.43% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-4 @ 2.5% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.29% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 55.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Anadia 1-3 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, October 19 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, October 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-1 Moreirense
Saturday, September 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, September 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-2 Boavista
Monday, September 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, August 31 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Djurgarden 1-2 Guimaraes
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-3 Guimaraes
Saturday, October 19 at 4.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Boavista
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-1 Celje
Wednesday, October 2 at 3.30pm in Conference League
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-3 Porto
Saturday, September 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga


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