SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.51%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
20.38% ( 0.51) | 24.11% ( 0.36) | 55.51% ( -0.87) |
| Both teams to score 48.94% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.28% ( -0.8) | 51.72% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.5% ( -0.7) | 73.49% ( 0.69) |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.06% ( 0.09) | 39.94% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.4% ( 0.08) | 76.6% ( -0.08) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.49% ( -0.62) | 18.5% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.27% ( -1.06) | 49.72% ( 1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.32% Total : 20.38% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.84% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 10.51% ( -0.09)1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 5.92% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.19% Total : 55.49% |
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