SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 73.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 11.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 3-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | SC Farense |
73.06% ( -0.19) | 15.79% ( 0.03) | 11.14% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.3% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.61% ( 0.37) | 32.39% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.98% ( 0.43) | 54.01% ( -0.43) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.34% ( 0.05) | 7.65% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.68% ( 0.12) | 27.32% ( -0.13) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.88% ( 0.54) | 40.11% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.24% ( 0.49) | 76.75% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | SC Farense |
| 2-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.26% 3-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.05)6-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.49% Total : 73.06% | 1-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.79% | 1-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.48% Total : 11.14% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
