Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.46%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.
