SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.46%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 23.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Braga |
| 23.39% | 23.15% | 53.46% |
| Both teams to score 55.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.64% | 44.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.27% | 66.73% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.09% | 32.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.51% | 69.48% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% | 16.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.68% | 46.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tondela | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 6.05% 2-1 @ 6.05% 2-0 @ 3.36% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.41% Total : 23.39% | 1-1 @ 10.88% 0-0 @ 5.45% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.14% | 0-1 @ 9.8% 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-2 @ 8.81% 1-3 @ 5.87% 0-3 @ 5.28% 2-3 @ 3.26% 1-4 @ 2.64% 0-4 @ 2.38% 2-4 @ 1.47% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.46% |
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