We said: Braga 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Braga have struggled for consistency this season and this has been a major cause of concern for manager Carvalhal, whose side have won three and lost three of their last seven games. However, they will fancy their chances against a struggling Pacos de Ferreira side who are without a win in any of their last five games. We predict a thrilling contest on Saturday with the hosts coming out victorious.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 73.23%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 9.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 3-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
