Vitoria de Guimaraes and Estoril Praia have kicked off their domestic assignment on a high and will look to keep the juggernaut rolling. However, we are backing the home side to take the positives from Wednesday's result and claim a slender victory over the Canarinhos. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 60.97%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.33%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Estoril Praia
60.97% ( 2.73)	23.03% ( -0.51)	16% ( -2.23)

Both teams to score 44.47% (

-2.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.38% (

-1.37)

53.61% (

1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.88% (

-1.17)

75.11% (

1.16)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78% (

0.47)

17.21% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.5% (

0.84)

47.5% (

-0.85)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.71% (

-3.63)

46.28% (

3.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.06% (

-2.95)

81.94% (

2.94)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 60.96%

Estoril Praia 16%

Draw 23.02%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 14.01% ( 0.94) 2-0 @ 12.33% ( 1.01) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.7) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.35) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.23) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.47% Total : 60.96%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.45) Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.02%	0-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.59) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.33% Total : 16%