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Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 10, 2022 at 5pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Hajduk Split

Silva (5')
Amaro (42'), Varela (45'), Silva (45+1')
Silva (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Livaja (37'), Simic (40'), Vukovic (45'), Colina (57'), Borevkovic (59'), Biuk (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hajduk Split 3-1 Guimaraes
Thursday, August 4 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-2 Hajduk Split

With Guimaraes needing to chase a two-goal deficit, we can envisage an open encounter in Portugal on Wednesday. It would be no surprise to see the hosts claw a goal back, with Hajduk Split potentially having to hold their nerve before effectively ending the tie late in the match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawHajduk Split
47.26% (-0.012 -0.01) 23.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 29.61% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 61.94% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.88% (0.0039999999999978 0)39.12% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.55% (0.0040000000000049 0)61.45% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.13% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)16.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)46.9% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.49% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67% (0.012999999999998 0.01)60.33% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 47.26%
    Hajduk Split 29.61%
    Draw 23.13%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawHajduk Split
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.77%
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 47.26%
1-1 @ 10.46%
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.88%
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 29.61%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chaves 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, August 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Hajduk Split 3-1 Guimaraes
Thursday, August 4 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Puskas Academy 0-0 Guimaraes
Thursday, July 28 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-0 Puskas Academy
Thursday, July 21 at 8.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Guimaraes 5-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, May 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Guimaraes
Friday, May 6 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Hajduk Split 3-1 Guimaraes
Thursday, August 4 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Tobol 4-1 Hajduk Split
Thursday, July 29 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hajduk Split 2-0 Tobol
Thursday, July 22 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-0 Hajduk Split
Thursday, September 24 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Renova 0-1 Hajduk Split
Thursday, September 17 at 2.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-3 Gzira
Thursday, July 18 at 7pm in Europa League Qualifying


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