SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Sporting Lisbon | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Vizela | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 43.89%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 27.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hajduk Split | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
43.89% ( 0.05) | 28.33% ( 0.04) | 27.78% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 44.53% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.79% ( -0.17) | 61.21% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.85% ( -0.13) | 81.15% ( 0.13) |
| Hajduk Split Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% ( -0.05) | 27.75% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.67% ( -0.07) | 63.33% ( 0.07) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.63% ( -0.17) | 38.37% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.88% ( -0.16) | 75.12% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hajduk Split | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 13.64% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 1.73% Total : 43.88% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.59% Total : 27.78% |
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