MX23RW : Wednesday, May 25 06:30:04
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May 14, 2022 at 6pm UK at Estádio do Dragão
Porto
2 - 0
Estoril
Joaozinho (48' og.), Fernando (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 83.4%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 5.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.74%) and 1-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.5%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match.

Result
PortoDrawEstoril Praia
83.4% (2.306 2.31) 11.58% (-1.223 -1.22) 5.02% (-1.082 -1.08)
Both teams to score 39.97% (-2.479 -2.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.76% (0.96300000000001 0.96)35.25% (-0.963 -0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.74% (1.07 1.07)57.26% (-1.069 -1.07)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.8% (0.65900000000001 0.66)6.21% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.54% (1.8 1.8)23.46% (-1.799 -1.8)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.62% (-2.964 -2.96)57.38% (2.965 2.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.75% (-1.724 -1.72)89.26% (1.727 1.73)
Score Analysis
    Porto 83.39%
    Estoril Praia 5.02%
    Draw 11.58%
PortoDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 13.75% (0.35 0.35)
3-0 @ 12.74% (0.77 0.77)
1-0 @ 9.9% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-0 @ 8.86% (0.837 0.84)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.516 -0.52)
3-1 @ 7.08% (-0.206 -0.21)
5-0 @ 4.92% (0.626 0.63)
4-1 @ 4.92% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.74% (0.12 0.12)
6-0 @ 2.28% (0.362 0.36)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.119 -0.12)
6-1 @ 1.27% (0.099 0.1)
7-0 @ 0.91% (0.171 0.17)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 83.39%
1-1 @ 5.5% (-0.591 -0.59)
0-0 @ 3.56% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-2 @ 2.12% (-0.36 -0.36)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 11.58%
0-1 @ 1.98% (-0.295 -0.3)
1-2 @ 1.53% (-0.326 -0.33)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 5.02%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Benfica 0-1 Porto
Saturday, May 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 4-2 Vizela
Saturday, April 30 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Porto
Monday, April 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, April 21 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Porto 7-0 Portimonense
Saturday, April 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Porto
Sunday, April 10 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Moreirense
Saturday, May 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 3-1 Estoril
Friday, April 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Belenenses
Sunday, April 24 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-0 Braga
Monday, April 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-0 Estoril
Sunday, April 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Vizela
Saturday, April 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
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Primeira Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPorto34294186226491
2Sporting Lisbon34274373235085
3Benfica34235678304874
4Braga34198752312165
5Gil Vicente34131294742551
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34139125041948
7Santa ClaraSanta Clara34913123854-1640
8FamalicaoFamalicao34912134551-639
9Estoril PraiaEstoril34912133643-739
10Maritimo34911143944-538
11BoavistaBoavista34717103952-1338
12PortimonensePortimonense34108163145-1438
13Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira34911142944-1538
14Vizela34712153758-2133
15AroucaArouca34710173054-2431
16MoreirenseMoreirense3478193351-1829
17TondelaTondela3477204167-2628
18BelenensesBelenenses34511182355-3226
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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2New York City FCNY City1272324101423
3Orlando City136341617-121
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls135532014620
5CF MontrealMontreal136252423120
6FC CincinnatiCincinnati136161821-319
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta124441918116
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC135171216-416
9New England RevolutionNew England124352122-115
10Inter MiamiInter Miami134361321-815
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12Columbus Crew123451515013
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Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia13661189924
2New York City FCNY City1272324101423
3Orlando City136341617-121
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls135532014620
5CF MontrealMontreal136252423120
6FC CincinnatiCincinnati136161821-319
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta124441918116
8Charlotte FCCharlotte FC135171216-416
9New England RevolutionNew England124352122-115
10Inter MiamiInter Miami134361321-815
11DC United124261619-314
12Columbus Crew123451515013
13Toronto133371825-712
14Chicago Fire132561117-611
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