Still celebrating their league crown, Porto will head into the game with sky-high confidence as they look to set the pace for their upcoming Taca de Portugal final against Tondela. Looking at the contrasting form between the two sides, we predict the hosts will come away with all three points and send Estoril Praia crashing back down to earth. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 83.4%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 5.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.74%) and 1-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.5%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Estoril Praia
83.4% ( 2.31)	11.58% ( -1.22)	5.02% ( -1.08)

Both teams to score 39.97% (

-2.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.76% (

0.96)

35.25% (

-0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.74% (

1.07)

57.26% (

-1.07)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.8% (

0.66)

6.21% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.54% (

1.8)

23.46% (

-1.8)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.62% (

-2.96)

57.38% (

2.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.75% (

-1.72)

89.26% (

1.73)

Score Analysis

Porto 83.39%

Estoril Praia 5.02%

Draw 11.58%

Porto	Draw	Estoril Praia
2-0 @ 13.75% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 12.74% ( 0.77) 1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.84) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.52) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.63) 4-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.12) 6-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.12) 6-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.1) 7-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.05% Total : 83.39%	1-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.59) 0-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.36) Other @ 0.4% Total : 11.58%	0-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.33) Other @ 1.51% Total : 5.02%