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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 13, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio D Afonso Henriques
RA

Guimaraes
1 - 3
Rio Ave

Quaresma (70')
Quaresma (58'), Fernandes (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mane (23'), Camacho (32'), Gelson (74')
Pinto (88'), Amaral (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawRio Ave
43.65%27.78%28.56%
Both teams to score 46.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.98%59.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.51%79.49%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15%26.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.85%62.15%
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.47%36.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.68%73.32%
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 43.64%
    Rio Ave 28.56%
    Draw 27.78%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 12.89%
2-1 @ 8.54%
2-0 @ 8.48%
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-0 @ 3.72%
3-2 @ 1.89%
4-1 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 43.64%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 9.81%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.78%
0-1 @ 9.88%
1-2 @ 6.54%
0-2 @ 4.97%
1-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 28.56%

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