Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
