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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Feb 8, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estádio do Restelo
VD

Belenenses
1 - 1
Guimaraes

Cassierra (30')
Silva (12'), Lima (37'), Henrique (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Estupinan (41')
Sacko (23'), Mensah (25')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
BelenensesDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
22.75%27.28%49.97%
Both teams to score 43.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.23%60.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.18%80.82%
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.29%42.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.96%79.04%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47%24.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.99%59%
Score Analysis
    Belenenses 22.75%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 49.96%
    Draw 27.27%
BelenensesDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 8.91%
2-1 @ 5.33%
2-0 @ 3.79%
3-1 @ 1.51%
3-0 @ 1.08%
3-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 22.75%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 3.74%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 14.72%
0-2 @ 10.34%
1-2 @ 8.8%
0-3 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 4.12%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.7%
1-4 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 49.96%

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