Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.18) 
