Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadion Kranjceviceva
Vranjkovic (26'), Vrbancic (85')
Smakaj (58'),
Kolinger (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Lokomotiva and Gorica.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 48.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 25.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Lokomotiva would win this match.
| Result |
| NK Lokomotiva | Draw | Gorica |
48.7% ( 0.22) | 26.09% ( 0.31) | 25.21% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 48.8% ( -1.37) |
| 45.22% ( -1.56) | 54.78% ( 1.56) |
| 23.91% ( -1.31) | 76.09% ( 1.3) |
| 77.48% ( -0.55) | 22.52% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.9% ( -0.83) | 56.09% ( 0.83) |
| 62.98% ( -1.31) | 37.01% ( 1.31) |
