SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Gorica win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gorica | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
30.48% ( -0.07) | 27.38% ( -0.05) | 42.14% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.15% ( 0.17) | 56.85% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.23% ( 0.13) | 77.77% ( -0.14) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.1% ( 0.03) | 33.9% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.43% ( 0.03) | 70.57% ( -0.03) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( 0.15) | 26.63% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.13% ( 0.19) | 61.87% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gorica | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.52% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.48% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.13% |
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