SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NK Lokomotiva | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
27.7% ( 0.21) | 26.47% ( -0.4) | 45.83% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 49.64% ( 1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.36% ( 1.63) | 54.64% ( -1.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.03% ( 1.33) | 75.97% ( -1.33) |
| NK Lokomotiva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.14% ( 1.04) | 34.86% ( -1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.4% ( 1.09) | 71.6% ( -1.09) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% ( 0.81) | 23.79% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.05% ( 1.14) | 57.94% ( -1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Lokomotiva | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
| 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.13% Total : 27.7% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.54)2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.48) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.83% |
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