SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 1-0 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NK Istra 1961 | Draw | Osijek |
22.59% ( -0.05) | 26.19% ( -0.28) | 51.22% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 45.89% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.77% ( 0.92) | 57.23% ( -0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.92% ( 0.73) | 78.08% ( -0.72) |
| NK Istra 1961 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.17% ( 0.47) | 40.83% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.6% ( 0.42) | 77.4% ( -0.41) |
| Osijek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.56% ( 0.54) | 22.44% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.03% ( 0.8) | 55.97% ( -0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Istra 1961 | Draw | Osijek |
| 1-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 1.25% Total : 22.59% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.16% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 13.69% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 10.22% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.82% Total : 51.21% |
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