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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 9
Oct 4, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion Aldo Drosina

Istra 1961
2 - 1
Osijek

Jelenic (12' og., 22')
Maresic (58'), Lekweiry (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Soldo (88')
Pusic (33'), Bukvic (59')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Istra 1961 and Osijek.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sibenik 0-0 Istra 1961
Friday, September 27 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 2-1 Varazdin
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 1-0 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
NK Istra 1961DrawOsijek
22.59% (-0.055 -0.05) 26.19% (-0.277 -0.28) 51.22% (0.334 0.33)
Both teams to score 45.89% (0.677 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.77% (0.92 0.92)57.23% (-0.917 -0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.92% (0.728 0.73)78.08% (-0.724 -0.72)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.17% (0.47199999999999 0.47)40.83% (-0.467 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.6% (0.42 0.42)77.4% (-0.41499999999999 -0.41)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.56% (0.53700000000001 0.54)22.44% (-0.533 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.03% (0.795 0.8)55.97% (-0.792 -0.79)
Score Analysis
    NK Istra 1961 22.59%
    Osijek 51.21%
    Draw 26.19%
NK Istra 1961DrawOsijek
1-0 @ 8.21% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-1 @ 5.49% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.68% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.64% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.23% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 22.59%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 9.16% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 13.69% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-2 @ 10.22% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.1% (0.065 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.57% (0.115 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.077 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.9% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 51.21%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sibenik 0-0 Istra 1961
Friday, September 27 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Istra 1961
Friday, September 20 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-2 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, September 14 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 0-1 Istra 1961
Saturday, August 31 at 5.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 1-1 Hajduk Split
Sunday, August 25 at 5.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 4-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, August 18 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 2-1 Varazdin
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 0-1 Osijek
Sunday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 1-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-0 Osijek
Saturday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 0-2 Rijeka
Sunday, August 25 at 7.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-2 Osijek
Sunday, August 18 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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