Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.
Result | ||
Osijek | Draw | NK Lokomotiva |
44.26% ( -0.58) | 25.67% ( 0.21) | 30.06% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 53.51% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.7% ( -0.68) | 50.29% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.76% ( -0.61) | 72.24% ( 0.6) |
Osijek Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.34% ( -0.56) | 22.66% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.7% ( -0.84) | 56.29% ( 0.84) |
NK Lokomotiva Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.19% ( -0.08) | 30.81% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.92% ( -0.1) | 67.08% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Osijek | Draw | NK Lokomotiva |
1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.16% Total : 44.26% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.02% Total : 30.07% |
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