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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 16
Dec 8, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Mewa Arena

Osijek
3 - 0
NK Lokomotiva

Hasic (2'), Soldo (32'), Cvijanovic (56')
Coppitelli (2'), Dantas (44'), Jurisic (45+6'), Mersinaj (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Fetai (1'), Gorican (21'), Vrbancic (28'), Antolic (28'), Leovac (38'), Mersinaj (78')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Osijek and NK Lokomotiva.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 3-2 Osijek
Saturday, November 30 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-2 Istra 1961
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.

Result
OsijekDrawNK Lokomotiva
44.26% (-0.582 -0.58) 25.67% (0.206 0.21) 30.06% (0.375 0.38)
Both teams to score 53.51% (-0.45 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.7% (-0.681 -0.68)50.29% (0.679 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76% (-0.606 -0.61)72.24% (0.604 0.6)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.34% (-0.56100000000001 -0.56)22.66% (0.559 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.7% (-0.839 -0.84)56.29% (0.836 0.84)
NK Lokomotiva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)30.81% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)67.08% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Osijek 44.26%
    NK Lokomotiva 30.07%
    Draw 25.67%
OsijekDrawNK Lokomotiva
1-0 @ 10.36% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.06% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.69% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.48% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 44.26%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.189 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.22% (0.206 0.21)
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.111 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 30.07%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 3-2 Osijek
Saturday, November 30 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 2-2 Hajduk Split
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 1-1 Osijek
Sunday, November 10 at 4.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 2-0 Gorica
Saturday, November 2 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-4 Osijek
Sunday, October 27 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Sibenik 1-3 Osijek
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-2 Istra 1961
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-1 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, November 23 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Sibenik 0-3 NK Lokomotiva
Friday, November 8 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 0-1 Slaven Koprivnica
Saturday, November 2 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 2-1 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 2-2 Rijeka
Friday, October 18 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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