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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion Kranjceviceva

NK Lokomotiva
1 - 2
Istra 1961

Mudrazija (83')
Blagojevic (49'), Smakaj (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Maresic (3'), Lawal (45+1')
Maresic (47'), Dajcer (50'), Gagua (63'), Bogdan (74'), Heister (83')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Lokomotiva and NK Istra 1961.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Varazdin 1-1 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, November 23 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-3 Slaven Koprivnica
Friday, November 22 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
NK LokomotivaDrawNK Istra 1961
38.35% (0.65 0.65) 27.28% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 34.37% (-0.669 -0.67)
Both teams to score 49.88% (-0.131 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.39% (-0.129 -0.13)55.61% (0.128 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.23% (-0.106 -0.11)76.77% (0.104 0.1)
NK Lokomotiva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (0.315 0.31)28.15% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (0.401 0.4)63.83% (-0.402 -0.4)
NK Istra 1961 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (-0.492 -0.49)30.58% (0.49 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.18% (-0.587 -0.59)66.82% (0.587 0.59)
Score Analysis
    NK Lokomotiva 38.35%
    NK Istra 1961 34.36%
    Draw 27.27%
NK LokomotivaDrawNK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 10.91% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.92% (0.155 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.92% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 38.35%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 8.61% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 10.19% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 6.04% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 34.36%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Varazdin 1-1 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, November 23 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Sibenik 0-3 NK Lokomotiva
Friday, November 8 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 0-1 Slaven Koprivnica
Saturday, November 2 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 2-1 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 2-2 Rijeka
Friday, October 18 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 2-0 Gorica
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-3 Slaven Koprivnica
Friday, November 22 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-1 Istra 1961
Saturday, November 9 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-1 Rijeka
Sunday, November 3 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, October 27 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Saturday, October 19 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-1 Osijek
Friday, October 4 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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