Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 63.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 14.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.
Result | ||
Osijek | Draw | Gorica |
63.44% ( -0.02) | 21.75% ( 0.05) | 14.81% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 45.51% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.24% ( -0.24) | 50.76% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.35% ( -0.21) | 72.65% ( 0.21) |
Osijek Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.61% ( -0.08) | 15.39% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.81% ( -0.16) | 44.19% ( 0.16) |
Gorica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.78% ( -0.18) | 46.21% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.11% ( -0.14) | 81.89% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Osijek | Draw | Gorica |
1-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.77% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 63.43% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.75% | 0-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.12% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.26% Total : 14.81% |
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