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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 12
Nov 2, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Mewa Arena

Osijek
2 - 0
Gorica

Les (34' og.), Pusic (90')
Jelenic (27'), Jugovic (33'), Tuia (40'), Soldo (58'), Jakupovic (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mikanovic (58'), Pavlovic (83'), Pavlovic (87')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Osijek and Gorica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-4 Osijek
Sunday, October 27 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, October 27 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 63.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 14.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osijek would win this match.

Result
OsijekDrawGorica
63.44% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 21.75% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 14.81% (-0.028 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.51% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.24% (-0.238 -0.24)50.76% (0.24 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.35% (-0.209 -0.21)72.65% (0.21000000000001 0.21)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.61% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)15.39% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.81% (-0.161 -0.16)44.19% (0.164 0.16)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.78% (-0.181 -0.18)46.21% (0.185 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.11% (-0.143 -0.14)81.89% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Osijek 63.43%
    Gorica 14.81%
    Draw 21.75%
OsijekDrawGorica
1-0 @ 13.3% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 12.45% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.64% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 63.43%
1-1 @ 10.27% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 21.75%
0-1 @ 5.49% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.97% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 14.81%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-4 Osijek
Sunday, October 27 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Sibenik 1-3 Osijek
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 2-1 Osijek
Friday, October 4 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 2-1 Varazdin
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 0-1 Osijek
Sunday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 1-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-0 Istra 1961
Sunday, October 27 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 2-1 Gorica
Sunday, October 20 at 5.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 2-0 Gorica
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 2-1 Slaven Koprivnica
Monday, September 30 at 3pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 4-1 Gorica
Saturday, September 21 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-1 Rijeka
Saturday, September 14 at 7pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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