SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 46.57%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Sibenik had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Sibenik win it was 1-0 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sibenik | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
24.44% ( -0.06) | 28.99% ( -0.34) | 46.57% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 40.63% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.09% ( 0.95) | 64.92% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.17% ( 0.66) | 83.83% ( -0.66) |
| Sibenik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.54% ( 0.5) | 43.47% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.32% ( 0.41) | 79.68% ( -0.41) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( 0.67) | 28.13% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.2% ( 0.84) | 63.8% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sibenik | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.01% Total : 24.44% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.43% Total : 28.98% | 0-1 @ 15.5% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.55% Total : 46.57% |
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