SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 65.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 12.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.86%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 1-0 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for HNK Rijeka in this match.
| Result | ||
| NK Istra 1961 | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
12.75% ( 0.02) | 21.66% ( 0.4) | 65.6% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 40.74% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.67% ( -1.43) | 54.33% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.29% ( -1.2) | 75.72% ( 1.2) |
| NK Istra 1961 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.43% ( -0.84) | 51.57% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.28% ( -0.56) | 85.72% ( 0.57) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.12% ( -0.61) | 15.89% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.89% ( -1.14) | 45.11% ( 1.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Istra 1961 | Draw | HNK Rijeka |
| 1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 12.75% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 15.07% ( 0.52) 0-2 @ 13.86% ( 0.19)1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 8.5% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.19)0-4 @ 3.91% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.11)0-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.59% Total : 65.59% |
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