SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 69.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Gorica had a probability of 10.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.34%) and 3-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Gorica win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Gorica |
69.83% ( 0.41) | 19.52% ( -0.04) | 10.65% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 40.52% ( -1.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.11% ( -0.79) | 50.89% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.23% ( -0.7) | 72.76% ( 0.7) |
| HNK Rijeka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.56% ( -0.12) | 13.44% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.58% ( -0.24) | 40.42% ( 0.24) |
| Gorica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.82% ( -1.21) | 53.18% ( 1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.23% ( -0.78) | 86.76% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| HNK Rijeka | Draw | Gorica |
| 2-0 @ 14.39% ( 0.33) 1-0 @ 14.34% ( 0.39)3-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.36% Total : 69.82% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.44% Total : 19.52% | 0-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.85% Total : 10.65% |
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