SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.7%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Ahli | Draw | Al Arabi |
24.98% ( -0.12) | 20.3% ( 0.03) | 54.72% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 68.33% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.96% ( -0.28) | 29.04% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.97% ( -0.34) | 50.03% ( 0.34) |
| Al Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.72% ( -0.23) | 23.28% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.79% ( -0.34) | 57.21% ( 0.35) |
| Al Arabi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.06% ( -0.06) | 10.94% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.86% ( -0.15) | 35.14% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ahli | Draw | Al Arabi |
| 2-1 @ 5.99% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 24.98% | 1-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.55% Total : 20.3% | 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.7% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.07)0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 54.72% |
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