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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shamal win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Al Ahli had a probability of 38.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shamal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.21%) and 0-2 (5.08%). The likeliest Al Ahli win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Ahli | Draw | Al Shamal |
38.38% ( 0.37) | 23.13% ( 0.06) | 38.49% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 64.85% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.51% ( -0.3) | 36.49% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.37% ( -0.33) | 58.63% ( 0.33) |
| Al Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% ( 0.04) | 19.49% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.63% ( 0.07) | 51.37% ( -0.07) |
| Al Shamal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% ( -0.33) | 19.44% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.72% ( -0.54) | 51.28% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Ahli | Draw | Al Shamal |
| 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.34% Total : 38.38% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.36% Total : 38.49% |
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