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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahli win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Al Shamal had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.45%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Al Shamal win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Shamal | Draw | Al Ahli |
33.84% ( 0.28) | 22.83% ( -0.02) | 43.33% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 65.21% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.29% ( 0.2) | 35.71% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.22% ( 0.22) | 57.77% ( -0.22) |
| Al Shamal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.62% ( 0.24) | 21.38% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.64% ( 0.38) | 54.36% ( -0.38) |
| Al Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.94% ( -0.03) | 17.05% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.78% ( -0.04) | 47.21% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Shamal | Draw | Al Ahli |
| 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.66% Total : 33.84% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.19% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.36% Total : 43.33% |
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