SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Al Gharafa had a probability of 39.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.82%) and 1-0 (4.73%). The likeliest Al Gharafa win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Arabi | Draw | Al Gharafa |
39.2% ( 0.02) | 21.75% ( 0.01) | 39.05% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 70.44% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.71% ( -0.05) | 29.29% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.67% ( -0.06) | 50.33% ( 0.06) |
| Al Arabi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% ( -0.01) | 16.04% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.6% ( -0.03) | 45.4% ( 0.03) |
| Al Gharafa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.9% ( -0.03) | 16.1% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.49% ( -0.06) | 45.51% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Arabi | Draw | Al Gharafa |
| 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0)1-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.4% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 3.75% Total : 39.2% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.21% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.68% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.75% | 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0)0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.19% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.01% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.22% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 3.72% Total : 39.05% |
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